Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224545           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934230           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.06000e-07           3          45          46           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.50       33.75       50.25       12.75        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4