Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228115           3          32          56           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971696           3          17          54          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.81000e-07           3          27          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             3.25       21.50       59.00       14.75        1.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5