Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232854           2          14          63          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101557           2          13          68          15           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.33000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.25        8.50       69.25       18.25        2.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6