Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231276           4          18          59          16           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100230           2          12          64          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.63000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.25        9.00       66.50       19.00        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9