Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230515           2          20          58          17           3        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996917           2          13          62          19           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.61000e-07           3           5          74          18           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00        9.50       67.25       18.50        2.75     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9