Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230617           3          19          59          16           3        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101029           2          12          66          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.53000e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.00       10.25       67.50       18.50        1.75     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6