Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232445           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103651           3          12          62          15           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.90000e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        9.00       63.00       22.25        3.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3