Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235120           5          10          57          24           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107809           1           4          74          19           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.33000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75        5.00       69.25       21.00        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6