Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234294           4          11          64          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109124           4           3          72          20           1        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.01000e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.25        4.25       69.75       21.25        2.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2