Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236868           2          12          61          20           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111071           3           4          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.52000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             2.00        4.25       69.50       20.75        3.50     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8