Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237708           1           7          67          20           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112096           2           5          62          29           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   4.62000e-07           2           1          77          19           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       100.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.50        3.50       67.75       24.25        3.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1