Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235898           3          13          57          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113124           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.08000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.25        5.50       66.00       24.25        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4