Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233919           4          13          63          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110348           3           2          64          29           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   3.80000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50        9.75       66.75       19.50        1.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)