Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231388           3          17          60          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105490           3           6          64          18           9        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   3.36000e-07           3           6          76          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.00       20.25       57.75       15.00        3.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)