Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223931           5          47          42           6           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000910349           3          29          49          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   2.38000e-07           3          32          57           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.50       40.00       44.75       10.00        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)