Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223770           5          47          43           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875955           4          38          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.96000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             3.00       31.25       56.75        8.75        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3