Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221329           7          40          43          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854888           7          50          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   2.26000e-07           4          40          51           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             4.75       36.75       48.25       10.00        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6