Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220217           7          45          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000841514           3          53          37           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.50       39.50       48.25        8.50        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7