Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223698           6          47          42           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883042           1          37          52          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.67000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.75       33.00       56.00        7.50        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3