Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226992           2          35          49          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000926306           1          19          53          25           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.42000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       19.25       59.75       18.50        0.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6