Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229728           1          21          60          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000978561           3          15          55          22           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.79000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.25       17.25       63.25       15.25        2.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5