Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217663          25          57          17           1           0        B3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795641          14          47          34           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.38000e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       10.0000          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            18.75       54.75       24.25        2.25        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1