Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217289          24          57          17           2           0        B2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000783111          12          46          35           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.60000e-07          11          59          26           4           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                            13.00       49.50       32.00        5.00        0.50     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)