Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214631          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000749920          19          41          33           7           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.14000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            16.25       50.50       27.75        5.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6