Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214926          35          47          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000752533          18          42          31           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.33000e-07           6          62          31           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            24.00       49.25       23.00        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)