Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216336          31          49          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794919          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.32000e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            16.75       55.00       25.50        2.75        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.0