Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218053          22          51          26           1           0        B4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823187           8          42          42           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   1.70000e-07          11          52          31           6           0        B7.5
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            11.75       49.75       32.25        6.25        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8