Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220680           7          41          42          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861088           7          46          37          10           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   2.25000e-07           4          41          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.50       40.75       45.75        7.50        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9