Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223394           5          51          38           6           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884117           1          35          54          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       35.75       53.00        7.50        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8