Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222662           5          47          40           8           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894815           3          34          47          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   2.62000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.00       31.75       52.50       11.75        1.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8