Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220112           7          45          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856656           7          51          35           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.15000e-07           2          42          50           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             5.00       41.50       46.00        7.25        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1