Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220108           7          44          40           9           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845660           5          52          37           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.45000e-07           3          35          54           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             4.75       38.00       48.50        8.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.3