Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222141           6          48          38           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000866342           5          40          47           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       29.0000           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             5.25       39.50       47.25        8.00        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6