Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222000           6          46          41           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000869940           3          38          49          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.87000e-07           2          23          69           6           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.50       39.75       47.50        8.25        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B4.8