Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223678           6          48          41           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884964           1          35          54          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.00000e-07           3          20          69           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.25       38.75       48.75        8.25        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3