Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221816           5          47          41           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860379           7          51          33           9           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.82000e-07           3          28          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             4.75       37.75       49.25        7.50        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5