Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221799           6          47          40           7           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845717           5          52          37           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.82000e-07           3          28          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             3.50       36.25       51.75        8.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8