Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219310          12          45          38           5           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000821511           7          42          43           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.30000e-07           4          37          50           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             6.50       35.75       48.00        9.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5