Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221231           6          40          45           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834990           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.85000e-07           2          24          66           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             3.50       32.75       53.75        9.75        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.2