Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221370           6          42          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000827550           5          47          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.53000e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             3.75       23.25       58.50       13.25        1.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0