Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225436           6          45          42           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000900466           3          27          52          15           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.51000e-07           2           1          82          13           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.75       18.25       60.25       16.00        2.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0