Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226912           2          36          48          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000892266           2          33          50          13           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   4.92000e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C5.7
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.75       17.50       56.25       22.25        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8