Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225468           6          46          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000924013           2          20          52          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.66000e-07           1           6          77          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.50       18.00       61.25       16.75        1.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9