Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234476           5          11          63          19           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101911           2          13          65          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.88000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =       109.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             2.00        6.00       61.25       26.25        4.50     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2