Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237386           2           9          65          20           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106934           3           4          71          18           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   7.56000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.75        3.25       62.50       27.25        5.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9