Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232114           3          15          58          22           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987778           3          14          59          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.13000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        7.50       60.25       26.75        3.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9