Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228489           2          27          60          11           0        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949291           2          16          53          26           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.32000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.25       10.75       61.25       23.75        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7