Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229259           1          23          62          13           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000942109           1          16          57          23           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.43000e-07           1           0          63          31           5        C7.2
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             0.50       10.00       63.75       22.75        3.00     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2