Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231296           4          16          60          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949235           2          15          54          26           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.92000e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.75        7.75       60.50       25.75        4.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.1