Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232033           3          15          57          23           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000955654           3          15          54          25           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.19000e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =       108.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.75        7.75       56.25       28.75        5.50     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      M9.3